Mid-American · 2026

Toledo

6–2
CFPi+ rank#70of 138 FBS teams
+0.0CFPi+ rating
#57Best: Offense
#116Weakest: TPi+ talent
4Games left
CFPi+ index

Where the team ranks

CFPi+#70+0.0
Offense#57+27.1
Defense#78+27.1
EPi+ efficiency index

How efficiently it plays

EPi+#57+2.8
Off EPi+#49+2.4
Def EPi+#62-0.4
Advanced stats

Offense and defense

StatOffenseDefense
Success rate#4845.0%#633.8%
Explosiveness#32+1.317#130+1.414
Havoc rate#3412.9%#6616.1%
Pass PPA#22+0.407#47+0.110
Rush PPA#87+0.065#29-0.041

Raw season splits, not opponent-adjusted. Defense #1 is the stingiest in the country.

TPi+ talent index

The roster and the staff

TPi+#116-10.6
Recruiting#95-5.7
Returning#47+8.9
247 talent#116556.3
Head coach#63+0.0
National composite

What other systems say

Composite#77-1.4
SP+#64+2.0
SP+ off#58+28.2
SP+ def#65+25.8
ESPN FPI#79-2.5
Traditional stats

The box-score view

Yards/G#11476.0
Yards/G allowed#41325.6
Pass yards/G#14288.1
Rush yards/G#39187.9
3rd down#3744.2%
3rd down allowed#4535.0%
Sacks/G#172.8
Takeaways/G#491.4

Ranks are national out of 138 FBS teams and #1 is best. The bar shows where a rank sits in the field; the rating is the source beneath it.

2026 schedule

Every game, with the model's read

WkOpponentResultProjectedWin probMarketEdge
1@Michigan StateL 20–30Final
2vsCentral ConnecticutW 63–10Final
3vsTempleW 49–48Final
4vsSan Diego StateW 41–16Final
5@Ball StateW 39–24Final
6vsBuffaloL 8–23Final
7@Eastern MichiganW 34–14Final
8vsWestern MichiganW 45–38Final
10@Sacramento State—
11vsMassachusetts—
12vsBowling Green—
13@Ohio—

Unlock Toledo’s remaining schedule

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CFPi-X V4.0 Selected · data vintage 10/26/2026