Mid-American · 2026
Toledo
6–2
CFPi+ rank#70of 138 FBS teams
+0.0CFPi+ rating
#57Best: Offense
#116Weakest: TPi+ talent
4Games left
Where the team ranks
CFPi+#70+0.0
Offense#57+27.1
Defense#78+27.1
How efficiently it plays
EPi+#57+2.8
Off EPi+#49+2.4
Def EPi+#62-0.4
Offense and defense
| Stat | Offense | Defense |
|---|---|---|
| Success rate | #4845.0% | #633.8% |
| Explosiveness | #32+1.317 | #130+1.414 |
| Havoc rate | #3412.9% | #6616.1% |
| Pass PPA | #22+0.407 | #47+0.110 |
| Rush PPA | #87+0.065 | #29-0.041 |
Raw season splits, not opponent-adjusted. Defense #1 is the stingiest in the country.
The roster and the staff
TPi+#116-10.6
Recruiting#95-5.7
Returning#47+8.9
247 talent#116556.3
Head coach#63+0.0
What other systems say
Composite#77-1.4
SP+#64+2.0
SP+ off#58+28.2
SP+ def#65+25.8
ESPN FPI#79-2.5
The box-score view
Yards/G#11476.0
Yards/G allowed#41325.6
Pass yards/G#14288.1
Rush yards/G#39187.9
3rd down#3744.2%
3rd down allowed#4535.0%
Sacks/G#172.8
Takeaways/G#491.4
Ranks are national out of 138 FBS teams and #1 is best. The bar shows where a rank sits in the field; the rating is the source beneath it.
Every game, with the model's read
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Projected | Win prob | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @ Michigan State | L 20–30 | Final | |||
| 2 | vs Central Connecticut | W 63–10 | Final | |||
| 3 | vs Temple | W 49–48 | Final | |||
| 4 | vs San Diego State | W 41–16 | Final | |||
| 5 | @ Ball State | W 39–24 | Final | |||
| 6 | vs Buffalo | L 8–23 | Final | |||
| 7 | @ Eastern Michigan | W 34–14 | Final | |||
| 8 | vs Western Michigan | W 45–38 | Final | |||
| 10 | @ Sacramento State | — | ||||
| 11 | vs Massachusetts | — | ||||
| 12 | vs Bowling Green | — | ||||
| 13 | @ Ohio | — | ||||
Unlock Toledo’s remaining schedule
CFPi-X V4.0 Selected · data vintage 10/26/2026












