Mid-American · 2026

Ball State

3–5
CFPi+ rank#127of 138 FBS teams
-15.8CFPi+ rating
#113Best: TPi+ talent
#133Weakest: Head coach
4Games left
CFPi+ index

Where the team ranks

CFPi+#127-15.8
Offense#114+19.1
Defense#130+34.9
EPi+ efficiency index

How efficiently it plays

EPi+#120-13.0
Off EPi+#84-3.2
Def EPi+#121+9.8
Advanced stats

Offense and defense

StatOffenseDefense
Success rate#11139.6%#8442.3%
Explosiveness#29+1.321#133+1.427
Havoc rate#10316.8%#10014.1%
Pass PPA#55+0.260#125+0.383
Rush PPA#99+0.037#102+0.130

Raw season splits, not opponent-adjusted. Defense #1 is the stingiest in the country.

TPi+ talent index

The roster and the staff

TPi+#113-9.9
Recruiting#114-7.9
Returning#116-15.8
247 talent#113563.9
Head coach#133-23.3
National composite

What other systems say

Composite#131-20.6
SP+#131-20.1
SP+ off#119+17.5
SP+ def#132+37.1
ESPN FPI#131-20.1
Traditional stats

The box-score view

Yards/G#111337.5
Yards/G allowed#125422.9
Pass yards/G#102196.3
Rush yards/G#92141.3
3rd down#11034.7%
3rd down allowed#11643.3%
Sacks/G#1011.6
Takeaways/G#1220.8

Ranks are national out of 138 FBS teams and #1 is best. The bar shows where a rank sits in the field; the rating is the source beneath it.

2026 schedule

Every game, with the model's read

WkOpponentResultProjectedWin probMarketEdge
1@#3Ohio StateL 3–56Final
2vsStony BrookW 41–17Final
3@LibertyL 15–51Final
4@Kent StateL 13–26Final
5vsToledoL 24–39Final
6@NorthwesternL 14–45Final
7@Bowling GreenW 32–31Final
8vsSacramento StateW 34–17Final
10@Massachusetts—
11vsBuffalo—
12@Ohio—
13vsCentral Michigan—

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CFPi-X V4.0 Selected · data vintage 10/26/2026