Big Ten · 2026
Michigan State
2–6
CFPi+ rank#73of 138 FBS teams
-0.6CFPi+ rating
#61Best: TPi+ talent
#125Weakest: Head coach
4Games left
Where the team ranks
CFPi+#73-0.6
Offense#79+23.8
Defense#62+24.5
How efficiently it plays
EPi+#64+0.7
Off EPi+#78-1.9
Def EPi+#48-2.6
Offense and defense
| Stat | Offense | Defense |
|---|---|---|
| Success rate | #8041.8% | #11444.7% |
| Explosiveness | #134+1.074 | #39+1.179 |
| Havoc rate | #9716.2% | #11113.6% |
| Pass PPA | #121+0.040 | #96+0.261 |
| Rush PPA | #126-0.049 | #73+0.067 |
Raw season splits, not opponent-adjusted. Defense #1 is the stingiest in the country.
The roster and the staff
TPi+#61+1.2
Recruiting#52+5.3
Returning#115-15.3
247 talent#61685.0
Head coach#125-16.6
What other systems say
Composite#69-0.5
SP+#88-3.0
SP+ off#98+23.1
SP+ def#68+26.3
ESPN FPI#64+1.2
The box-score view
Yards/G#134291.4
Yards/G allowed#64355.1
Pass yards/G#117181.3
Rush yards/G#125110.1
3rd down#8837.9%
3rd down allowed#10341.3%
Sacks/G#1051.5
Takeaways/G#1280.6
Ranks are national out of 138 FBS teams and #1 is best. The bar shows where a rank sits in the field; the rating is the source beneath it.
Every game, with the model's read
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Projected | Win prob | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Toledo | W 30–20 | Final | |||
| 2 | vs Eastern Michigan | W 35–7 | Final | |||
| 3 | @ #5Notre Dame | L 10–27 | Final | |||
| 4 | vs #19Nebraska | L 13–31 | Final | |||
| 5 | @ Wisconsin | L 3–31 | Final | |||
| 6 | vs Illinois | L 37–38 | Final | |||
| 7 | vs Northwestern | L 21–24 | Final | |||
| 8 | @ #18UCLA | L 10–28 | Final | |||
| 10 | @ Michigan | — | ||||
| 11 | vs Washington | — | ||||
| 12 | vs #11Oregon | — | ||||
| 13 | @ Rutgers | — | ||||
Unlock Michigan State’s remaining schedule
CFPi-X V4.0 Selected · data vintage 10/26/2026