Mid-American · 2026

Sacramento State

1–7
CFPi+ rank#138of 138 FBS teams
-26.5CFPi+ rating
#63Best: Head coach
#138Weakest: EPi+ efficiency
4Games left
CFPi+ index

Where the team ranks

CFPi+#138-26.5
Offense#138+12.5
Defense#138+39.0
EPi+ efficiency index

How efficiently it plays

EPi+#138-29.1
Off EPi+#137-17.6
Def EPi+#125+11.4
Advanced stats

Offense and defense

StatOffenseDefense
Success rate#13036.7%#7541.5%
Explosiveness#138+1.035#117+1.341
Havoc rate#12417.7%#13510.6%
Pass PPA#129-0.015#123+0.382
Rush PPA#138-0.192#96+0.120

Raw season splits, not opponent-adjusted. Defense #1 is the stingiest in the country.

TPi+ talent index

The roster and the staff

TPi+#114-10.1
Recruiting#129-14.5
Returning#74-0.0
247 talent#114561.4
Head coach#63+0.0
National composite

What other systems say

Composite#138-30.8
SP+#138-29.1
SP+ off#138+10.4
SP+ def#137+39.2
ESPN FPI#138-33.2
Traditional stats

The box-score view

Yards/G#132297.8
Yards/G allowed#84371.5
Pass yards/G#101196.9
Rush yards/G#131100.9
3rd down#12332.7%
3rd down allowed#10241.3%
Sacks/G#1271.1
Takeaways/G#1280.6

Ranks are national out of 138 FBS teams and #1 is best. The bar shows where a rank sits in the field; the rating is the source beneath it.

2026 schedule

Every game, with the model's read

WkOpponentResultProjectedWin probMarketEdge
0@Eastern MichiganL 17–28Final
1vsMississippi Valley StateW 52–0Final
2@Fresno StateL 3–49Final
3vsNorth Dakota StateL 10–31Final
4vsMassachusettsL 6–35Final
6@Bowling GreenL 10–38Final
7vsOhioL 7–48Final
8@Ball StateL 17–34Final
9vsKent State—
10vsToledo—
11@Central Michigan—
13@Hawai'i—

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CFPi-X V4.0 Selected · data vintage 10/26/2026