Pac-12 · 2026
Fresno State
0–1
#89
CFPi+
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CFPi+ Index
CFPi+
-5.6#89
Offense
+19.2#120
Defense
+24.8#53
National Composite
-6.6#94
EPi+ Efficiency
-3.9#81
TPi+ Talent
-5.6#83
Head Coach
+2.4#55
EPi+ Efficiency Index
EPi+
-20.9#130
Off EPi+
-11.3#129
Def EPi+
+9.6#125
Off Success
22.2%#133
Def Success
62.2%#137
Havoc Created
11.6%#104
Advanced Stats
| Stat | Offense | Rank | Defense | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Success Rate | 22.2% | #133 | 62.2% | #137 |
| Explosiveness | +1.1 | #96 | +1.2 | #65 |
| Havoc Rate | 20.0% | #113 | 11.6% | #104 |
| Pass PPA | +0.5 | #42 | +1.6 | #137 |
| Rush PPA | -0.5 | #135 | -0.4 | #11 |
TPi+ Talent Index
TPi+
-5.6#83
Recruiting
-3.1#83
Returning
-4.2#87
247 Talent
609.8#88
Head Coach
+2.4#55
National Composite
C
-6.6#94
SP+
-7.6#99
SP+ Off
+18.1#117
SP+ Def
+25.7#70
ESPN FPI
-7.0#97
Traditional Stats
Yards/G
116.0#137
Yards/G Allowed
552.0#131
Pass Yards/G
77.0#133
Rush Yards/G
39.0#131
3rd Down
20.0%#125
3rd Down Allowed
62.5%#133
Sacks/G
0.0#124
Takeaways/G
2.0#23
2026 Scheduleprojected 5.04–5.96
Record
1–1
Simulated
6–5
Projected
5.4–5.6
Best case
8–3
Worst case
3–8
| WK | OPPONENT | RESULT | PROJECTED | WIN PROB | MARKET | EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @#14 USC | L 0–39 | Final | |||
| 2 | vs#120 Sacramento State | W 49–3 | Final | |||
| 3 | @#119 San José State | — | Win by 5.9 27–21 | 63.2% | — | — |
| 4 | vs#114 Rice | — | Win by 6.8 28–21 | 65.3% | — | — |
| 5 | @#75 Washington State | — | Lose by 5.7 20–24 | 37.1% | — | — |
| 6 | vs#51 Boise State | — | Lose by 7.2 21–28 | 33.9% | — | — |
| 7 | @#55 San Diego State | — | Lose by 10.4 17–27 | 27.6% | — | — |
| 9 | vs#88 Oregon State | — | Win by 1.4 24–21 | 53.2% | — | — |
| 10 | @#108 Utah State | — | Win by 2.6 27–24 | 56.0% | — | — |
| 11 | @#82 Texas State | — | Lose by 2.2 28–30 | 45.0% | — | — |
| 12 | vs#90 Colorado State | — | Win by 2.1 24–21 | 54.8% | — | — |
CFPi+ V2026.2 · data vintage 9/8/2026