Pac-12 · 2026
Fresno State
4–3
CFPi+ rank#84of 138 FBS teams
-4.6CFPi+ rating
#55Best: Head coach
#101Weakest: Offense
4Games left
Where the team ranks
CFPi+#84-4.6
Offense#101+21.1
Defense#69+25.7
How efficiently it plays
EPi+#78-2.0
Off EPi+#79-1.9
Def EPi+#64+0.1
Offense and defense
| Stat | Offense | Defense |
|---|---|---|
| Success rate | #9940.5% | #7741.9% |
| Explosiveness | #59+1.268 | #46+1.192 |
| Havoc rate | #3312.9% | #8315.2% |
| Pass PPA | #40+0.329 | #55+0.124 |
| Rush PPA | #124-0.039 | #55+0.016 |
Raw season splits, not opponent-adjusted. Defense #1 is the stingiest in the country.
The roster and the staff
TPi+#88-5.7
Recruiting#83-3.1
Returning#87-4.3
247 talent#88609.8
Head coach#55+2.5
What other systems say
Composite#61+2.5
SP+#61+2.6
SP+ off#77+25.7
SP+ def#49+23.4
ESPN FPI#74-1.0
The box-score view
Yards/G#101352.6
Yards/G allowed#101384.3
Pass yards/G#87212.1
Rush yards/G#94140.4
3rd down#10436.1%
3rd down allowed#5035.6%
Sacks/G#672.0
Takeaways/G#181.7
Ranks are national out of 138 FBS teams and #1 is best. The bar shows where a rank sits in the field; the rating is the source beneath it.
Every game, with the model's read
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Projected | Win prob | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @ USC | L 0–39 | Final | |||
| 2 | vs Sacramento State | W 49–3 | Final | |||
| 3 | @ San José State | W 26–10 | Final | |||
| 4 | vs Rice | W 38–24 | Final | |||
| 5 | @ Washington State | W 26–6 | Final | |||
| 6 | vs Boise State | L 31–38 | Final | |||
| 7 | @ San Diego State | L 23–26 | Final | |||
| 9 | vs Oregon State | — | ||||
| 10 | @ Utah State | — | ||||
| 11 | @ Texas State | — | ||||
| 12 | vs Colorado State | — | ||||
Unlock Fresno State’s remaining schedule
CFPi-X V4.0 Selected · data vintage 10/26/2026