American Athletic · 2026
UTSA
1–0
#67
CFPi+
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CFPi+ Index
CFPi+
+0.1#67
Offense
+31.9#30
Defense
+31.8#99
National Composite
+0.8#68
EPi+ Efficiency
+5.2#47
TPi+ Talent
-3.9#76
Head Coach
+7.6#36
EPi+ Efficiency Index
EPi+
+7.4#47
Off EPi+
+3.1#54
Def EPi+
-4.2#39
Off Success
63.6%#10
Def Success
36.5%#64
Havoc Created
18.3%#58
Advanced Stats
| Stat | Offense | Rank | Defense | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Success Rate | 63.6% | #10 | 36.5% | #64 |
| Explosiveness | +0.9 | #130 | +1.0 | #32 |
| Havoc Rate | 11.7% | #58 | 18.3% | #58 |
| Pass PPA | +0.5 | #48 | -0.2 | #17 |
| Rush PPA | +0.3 | #37 | +0.1 | #89 |
TPi+ Talent Index
TPi+
-3.9#76
Recruiting
-1.8#78
Returning
+6.7#56
247 Talent
655.8#72
Head Coach
+7.6#36
National Composite
C
+0.8#68
SP+
+2.9#59
SP+ Off
+31.9#31
SP+ Def
+29.2#92
ESPN FPI
-3.8#82
Traditional Stats
Yards/G
525.0#31
Yards/G Allowed
422.0#109
Pass Yards/G
275.0#46
Rush Yards/G
250.0#30
3rd Down
33.3%#101
3rd Down Allowed
38.9%#84
Sacks/G
1.0#82
Takeaways/G
2.0#23
2026 Scheduleprojected 7.54–4.46
Record
2–0
Simulated
11–1
Projected
8.0–4.0
Best case
10–2
Worst case
5–7
| WK | OPPONENT | RESULT | PROJECTED | WIN PROB | MARKET | EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vsUT Rio Grande Valley | W 45–16 | Final | |||
| 2 | @#82 Texas State | W 31–26 | Final | |||
| 3 | @#4 Texas | — | Lose by 33.8 13–45 | 2.6% | — | — |
| 4 | vs#90 Colorado State | — | Win by 8.5 31–24 | 68.6% | — | — |
| 5 | @#114 Rice | — | Win by 10.3 34–24 | 72.3% | — | — |
| 6 | vs#73 South Florida | — | Win by 4.4 34–30 | 59.9% | — | — |
| 7 | vs#77 Navy | — | Win by 6.5 35–28 | 64.4% | — | — |
| 8 | @#85 Tulane | — | Win by 2.9 34–31 | 56.6% | — | — |
| 10 | @#102 Florida Atlantic | — | Win by 6.5 37–30 | 64.5% | — | — |
| 11 | vs#99 North Texas | — | Win by 9.5 38–28 | 70.8% | — | — |
| 12 | @#117 UAB | — | Win by 10.3 37–27 | 72.2% | — | — |
| 13 | vs#78 Tulsa | — | Win by 6.5 34–27 | 64.5% | — | — |
CFPi+ V2026.2 · data vintage 9/8/2026