American Athletic · 2026
South Florida
1–0
#73
CFPi+
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CFPi+ Index
CFPi+
-1.8#73
Offense
+30.2#44
Defense
+32.0#100
National Composite
-3.7#83
EPi+ Efficiency
+14.9#17
TPi+ Talent
-1.7#72
Head Coach
0.0#63
EPi+ Efficiency Index
EPi+
-8.8#105
Off EPi+
-8.0#124
Def EPi+
+0.8#77
Off Success
43.1%#75
Def Success
38.2%#74
Havoc Created
15.8%#71
Advanced Stats
| Stat | Offense | Rank | Defense | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Success Rate | 43.1% | #75 | 38.2% | #74 |
| Explosiveness | +0.6 | #137 | +1.1 | #50 |
| Havoc Rate | 15.5% | #91 | 15.8% | #71 |
| Pass PPA | +0.2 | #102 | +0.2 | #73 |
| Rush PPA | -0.1 | #112 | -0.1 | #57 |
TPi+ Talent Index
TPi+
-1.7#72
Recruiting
+2.7#65
Returning
-16.4#121
247 Talent
703.8#52
Head Coach
0.0#63
National Composite
C
-3.7#83
SP+
-3.1#76
SP+ Off
+26.0#69
SP+ Def
+28.9#90
ESPN FPI
-2.3#75
Traditional Stats
Yards/G
208.0#127
Yards/G Allowed
381.0#92
Pass Yards/G
100.0#126
Rush Yards/G
108.0#108
3rd Down
38.5%#87
3rd Down Allowed
29.4%#51
Sacks/G
1.0#82
Takeaways/G
3.0#7
2026 Scheduleprojected 8.1–3.9
Record
2–0
Simulated
10–2
Projected
8.6–3.4
Best case
11–1
Worst case
6–6
| WK | OPPONENT | RESULT | PROJECTED | WIN PROB | MARKET | EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs#113 Florida International | W 19–9 | Final | |||
| 2 | @#83 Army | W 28–24 | Final | |||
| 3 | vsDelaware State | — | Win by 34.6 45–10 | 97.6% | — | — |
| 4 | @#123 Bowling Green | — | Win by 10.0 31–21 | 71.8% | — | — |
| 5 | vs#80 Temple | — | Win by 5.1 34–28 | 61.5% | — | — |
| 6 | @#67 UTSA | — | Lose by 4.4 30–34 | 40.1% | — | — |
| 7 | vs#135 Kent State | — | Win by 20.2 38–17 | 87.7% | — | — |
| 9 | vs#117 UAB | — | Win by 11.8 38–26 | 75.0% | — | — |
| 10 | @#86 East Carolina | — | Win by 1.6 31–28 | 53.6% | — | — |
| 11 | vs#57 Memphis | — | Lose by 1.3 31–34 | 47.0% | — | — |
| 12 | @#102 Florida Atlantic | — | Win by 4.7 34–30 | 60.7% | — | — |
| 13 | vs#85 Tulane | — | Win by 5.6 34–28 | 62.5% | — | — |
CFPi+ V2026.2 · data vintage 9/8/2026