American Athletic · 2026
North Texas
0–1
#99
CFPi+
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CFPi+ Index
CFPi+
-7.4#99
Offense
+31.8#31
Defense
+39.2#138
National Composite
-10.1#110
EPi+ Efficiency
+13.5#21
TPi+ Talent
-6.8#85
Head Coach
-1.3#83
EPi+ Efficiency Index
EPi+
-12.4#115
Off EPi+
-0.8#77
Def EPi+
+11.6#131
Off Success
35.0%#115
Def Success
51.1%#122
Havoc Created
4.3%#138
Advanced Stats
| Stat | Offense | Rank | Defense | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Success Rate | 35.0% | #115 | 51.1% | #122 |
| Explosiveness | +1.6 | #9 | +1.6 | #118 |
| Havoc Rate | 13.0% | #71 | 4.3% | #138 |
| Pass PPA | +0.4 | #64 | +1.6 | #138 |
| Rush PPA | +0.0 | #86 | +0.0 | #75 |
TPi+ Talent Index
TPi+
-6.8#85
Recruiting
-5.7#96
Returning
-21.7#135
247 Talent
602.1#95
Head Coach
-1.3#83
National Composite
C
-10.1#110
SP+
-13.2#115
SP+ Off
+23.5#90
SP+ Def
+36.5#123
ESPN FPI
-6.7#93
Traditional Stats
Yards/G
367.0#90
Yards/G Allowed
365.0#86
Pass Yards/G
215.0#82
Rush Yards/G
152.0#76
3rd Down
40.0%#80
3rd Down Allowed
55.6%#127
Sacks/G
0.0#124
Takeaways/G
0.0#99
2026 Scheduleprojected 5.82–6.18
Record
1–1
Simulated
6–6
Projected
6.5–5.5
Best case
9–3
Worst case
4–8
| WK | OPPONENT | RESULT | PROJECTED | WIN PROB | MARKET | EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @#9 Indiana | L 16–52 | Final | |||
| 2 | vs#64 UNLV | W 44–6 | Final | |||
| 3 | @#82 Texas State | — | Lose by 3.9 34–38 | 41.2% | — | — |
| 4 | vsHouston Christian | — | Win by 43.2 49–7 | 99.3% | — | — |
| 5 | @#78 Tulsa | — | Lose by 5.0 30–34 | 38.8% | — | — |
| 6 | vs#132 Charlotte | — | Win by 13.2 38–24 | 77.5% | — | — |
| 8 | @#77 Navy | — | Lose by 4.7 31–35 | 39.4% | — | — |
| 9 | vs#102 Florida Atlantic | — | Win by 2.4 35–34 | 55.4% | — | — |
| 10 | vs#114 Rice | — | Win by 5.2 34–28 | 61.7% | — | — |
| 11 | @#67 UTSA | — | Lose by 9.5 28–38 | 29.2% | — | — |
| 12 | @#85 Tulane | — | Lose by 4.0 31–35 | 40.9% | — | — |
| 13 | vs#117 UAB | — | Win by 5.5 38–31 | 62.4% | — | — |
CFPi+ V2026.2 · data vintage 9/8/2026