
American Athletic · 2026
East Carolina
0–1
#86
CFPi+
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CFPi+ Index
CFPi+
-5.2#86
Offense
+25.4#80
Defense
+30.7#88
National Composite
-6.3#93
EPi+ Efficiency
+8.9#33
TPi+ Talent
-8.8#97
Head Coach
+9.3#32
EPi+ Efficiency Index
EPi+
-17.0#124
Off EPi+
-8.3#125
Def EPi+
+8.7#123
Off Success
24.0%#132
Def Success
54.2%#129
Havoc Created
10.0%#121
Advanced Stats
| Stat | Offense | Rank | Defense | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Success Rate | 24.0% | #132 | 54.2% | #129 |
| Explosiveness | +1.8 | #5 | +1.2 | #54 |
| Havoc Rate | 19.5% | #110 | 10.0% | #121 |
| Pass PPA | +0.1 | #114 | +0.3 | #88 |
| Rush PPA | -0.5 | #137 | +0.4 | #130 |
TPi+ Talent Index
TPi+
-8.8#97
Recruiting
-1.5#76
Returning
-13.3#110
247 Talent
623.8#83
Head Coach
+9.3#32
National Composite
C
-6.3#93
SP+
-8.1#102
SP+ Off
+22.0#96
SP+ Def
+29.9#98
ESPN FPI
-3.2#80
Traditional Stats
Yards/G
162.0#132
Yards/G Allowed
487.0#121
Pass Yards/G
160.0#107
Rush Yards/G
2.0#138
3rd Down
0.0%#136
3rd Down Allowed
53.3%#118
Sacks/G
1.0#82
Takeaways/G
1.0#52
2026 Scheduleprojected 6.49–5.51
Record
0–2
Simulated
7–5
Projected
5.9–6.1
Best case
8–4
Worst case
3–9
| WK | OPPONENT | RESULT | PROJECTED | WIN PROB | MARKET | EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @#10 Alabama | L 10–48 | Final | |||
| 2 | vs#95 App State | L 24–27 | Final | |||
| 3 | @#106 Old Dominion | — | Win by 2.9 29–26 | 56.7% | — | — |
| 4 | vsNorth Carolina Central | — | Win by 34.7 45–10 | 97.7% | — | — |
| 6 | vs#114 Rice | — | Win by 7.3 31–24 | 66.2% | — | — |
| 7 | @#117 UAB | — | Win by 5.4 34–27 | 62.1% | — | — |
| 8 | @#57 Memphis | — | Lose by 10.6 24–35 | 27.1% | — | — |
| 9 | vs#80 Temple | — | Win by 0.9 30–28 | 52.1% | — | — |
| 10 | vs#73 South Florida | — | Lose by 1.6 28–31 | 46.4% | — | — |
| 11 | @#132 Charlotte | — | Win by 13.8 34–20 | 78.5% | — | — |
| 12 | @#83 Army | — | Lose by 2.2 24–27 | 45.0% | — | — |
| 13 | vs#102 Florida Atlantic | — | Win by 4.5 34–28 | 60.2% | — | — |
CFPi+ V2026.2 · data vintage 9/8/2026