ACC · 2026
North Carolina
4–3
CFPi+ rank#48of 138 FBS teams
+5.3CFPi+ rating
#28Best: TPi+ talent
#123Weakest: Head coach
5Games left
Where the team ranks
CFPi+#48+5.3
Offense#56+27.2
Defense#38+21.8
How efficiently it plays
EPi+#54+3.6
Off EPi+#48+2.9
Def EPi+#60-0.7
Offense and defense
| Stat | Offense | Defense |
|---|---|---|
| Success rate | #4445.4% | #9042.8% |
| Explosiveness | #128+1.105 | #5+1.067 |
| Havoc rate | #6914.5% | #12312.7% |
| Pass PPA | #74+0.215 | #42+0.098 |
| Rush PPA | #98+0.038 | #62+0.040 |
Raw season splits, not opponent-adjusted. Defense #1 is the stingiest in the country.
The roster and the staff
TPi+#28+8.8
Recruiting#25+11.0
Returning#89-4.5
247 talent#28767.9
Head coach#123-15.5
What other systems say
Composite#55+4.8
SP+#58+3.7
SP+ off#75+26.3
SP+ def#42+22.5
ESPN FPI#43+7.4
The box-score view
Yards/G#112335.7
Yards/G allowed#85372.7
Pass yards/G#76221.7
Rush yards/G#119114.0
3rd down#6840.5%
3rd down allowed#11543.1%
Sacks/G#672.0
Takeaways/G#691.1
Ranks are national out of 138 FBS teams and #1 is best. The bar shows where a rank sits in the field; the rating is the source beneath it.
Every game, with the model's read
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Projected | Win prob | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | vs TCU | W 15–10 | Final | |||
| 2 | vs East Tennessee State | W 35–3 | Final | |||
| 3 | @ Clemson | L 20–28 | Final | |||
| 5 | vs #5Notre Dame | L 26–37 | Final | |||
| 6 | @ Pittsburgh | W 21–17 | Final | |||
| 7 | @ Duke | W 24–20 | Final | |||
| 8 | vs Syracuse | L 30–31 | Final | |||
| 9 | vs #2Miami | — | ||||
| 10 | @ UConn | — | ||||
| 11 | vs Louisville | — | ||||
| 12 | @ Virginia | — | ||||
| 13 | vs NC State | — | ||||
Unlock North Carolina’s remaining schedule
CFPi-X V4.0 Selected · data vintage 10/26/2026