ACC · 2026
North Carolina
1–0
#49
CFPi+
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CFPi+ Index
CFPi+
+3.9#49
Offense
+23.6#98
Defense
+19.8#25
National Composite
+6.7#43
EPi+ Efficiency
-12.6#120
TPi+ Talent
+6.9#38
Head Coach
-15.0#123
EPi+ Efficiency Index
EPi+
-1.7#80
Off EPi+
-4.2#101
Def EPi+
-2.5#52
Off Success
46.6%#68
Def Success
33.3%#51
Havoc Created
15.3%#78
Advanced Stats
| Stat | Offense | Rank | Defense | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Success Rate | 46.6% | #68 | 33.3% | #51 |
| Explosiveness | +0.9 | #125 | +1.2 | #63 |
| Havoc Rate | 15.5% | #90 | 15.3% | #78 |
| Pass PPA | +0.3 | #86 | +0.0 | #42 |
| Rush PPA | -0.1 | #109 | -0.0 | #64 |
TPi+ Talent Index
TPi+
+6.9#38
Recruiting
+11.0#25
Returning
-4.3#89
247 Talent
767.9#28
Head Coach
-15.0#123
National Composite
C
+6.7#43
SP+
+5.8#49
SP+ Off
+24.5#83
SP+ Def
+19.1#24
ESPN FPI
+6.3#44
Traditional Stats
Yards/G
322.0#105
Yards/G Allowed
281.0#58
Pass Yards/G
232.0#68
Rush Yards/G
90.0#118
3rd Down
27.3%#115
3rd Down Allowed
43.8%#98
Sacks/G
3.0#21
Takeaways/G
1.0#52
2026 Scheduleprojected 5.95–6.05
Record
2–0
Simulated
5–7
Projected
6.0–6.0
Best case
8–4
Worst case
3–9
| WK | OPPONENT | RESULT | PROJECTED | WIN PROB | MARKET | EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | vs#44 TCU | W 15–10 | Final | |||
| 2 | vsEast Tennessee State | W 35–3 | Final | |||
| 3 | @#29 Clemson | — | Lose by 12.1 17–28 | 24.3% | — | — |
| 5 | vs#3 Notre Dame | — | Lose by 17.9 16–34 | 15.2% | +23.5 | +5.6 |
| 6 | @#35 Pittsburgh | — | Lose by 7.9 21–28 | 32.6% | — | — |
| 7 | @#45 Duke | — | Lose by 4.4 24–28 | 40.0% | +4.5 | +0.1 |
| 8 | vs#65 Syracuse | — | Win by 6.5 27–21 | 64.5% | — | — |
| 9 | vs#6 Miami | — | Lose by 14.4 17–31 | 20.4% | — | — |
| 10 | @#79 UConn | — | Win by 5.9 30–24 | 63.3% | — | — |
| 11 | vs#24 Louisville | — | Lose by 2.6 21–24 | 44.1% | — | — |
| 12 | @#33 Virginia | — | Lose by 8.6 20–27 | 31.2% | — | — |
| 13 | vs#60 NC State | — | Win by 5.3 27–21 | 61.9% | +1.5 | +6.8 |
CFPi+ V2026.2 · data vintage 9/8/2026