ACC · 2026
NC State
3–4
CFPi+ rank#68of 138 FBS teams
+0.2CFPi+ rating
#32Best: TPi+ talent
#107Weakest: EPi+ efficiency
5Games left
Where the team ranks
CFPi+#68+0.2
Offense#59+26.9
Defense#73+26.7
How efficiently it plays
EPi+#107-9.8
Off EPi+#75-1.4
Def EPi+#117+8.4
Offense and defense
| Stat | Offense | Defense |
|---|---|---|
| Success rate | #4945.0% | #11244.5% |
| Explosiveness | #53+1.272 | #119+1.349 |
| Havoc rate | #6414.3% | #9614.5% |
| Pass PPA | #14+0.441 | #131+0.411 |
| Rush PPA | #105+0.025 | #94+0.117 |
Raw season splits, not opponent-adjusted. Defense #1 is the stingiest in the country.
The roster and the staff
TPi+#32+7.8
Recruiting#31+8.3
Returning#18+13.8
247 talent#32757.1
Head coach#59+1.8
What other systems say
Composite#74-1.2
SP+#74-0.9
SP+ off#46+30.0
SP+ def#107+31.0
ESPN FPI#70-0.0
The box-score view
Yards/G#46419.9
Yards/G allowed#94380.0
Pass yards/G#38257.6
Rush yards/G#60162.3
3rd down#1052.5%
3rd down allowed#4735.2%
Sacks/G#1131.3
Takeaways/G#691.1
Ranks are national out of 138 FBS teams and #1 is best. The bar shows where a rank sits in the field; the rating is the source beneath it.
Every game, with the model's read
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Projected | Win prob | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | @ Virginia | L 8–34 | Final | |||
| 2 | vs Richmond | W 73–0 | Final | |||
| 3 | @ Vanderbilt | L 31–35 | Final | |||
| 4 | vs App State | W 41–31 | Final | |||
| 5 | vs Louisville | W 31–28 | Final | |||
| 6 | vs #17Wake Forest | L 14–38 | Final | |||
| 8 | @ Stanford | L 28–31 | Final | |||
| 9 | vs California | — | ||||
| 10 | vs Duke | — | ||||
| 11 | vs Syracuse | — | ||||
| 12 | @ Florida State | — | ||||
| 13 | @ North Carolina | — | ||||
Unlock NC State’s remaining schedule
CFPi-X V4.0 Selected · data vintage 10/26/2026