ACC · 2026
NC State
0–1
#60
CFPi+
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CFPi+ Index
CFPi+
+2.2#60
Offense
+28.9#53
Defense
+26.8#67
National Composite
-2.4#76
EPi+ Efficiency
+7.1#40
TPi+ Talent
+7.8#33
Head Coach
+1.7#59
EPi+ Efficiency Index
EPi+
-22.3#133
Off EPi+
-13.6#135
Def EPi+
+8.7#122
Off Success
34.2%#118
Def Success
50.8%#121
Havoc Created
5.6%#136
Advanced Stats
| Stat | Offense | Rank | Defense | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Success Rate | 34.2% | #118 | 50.8% | #121 |
| Explosiveness | +0.5 | #138 | +1.1 | #41 |
| Havoc Rate | 25.5% | #128 | 5.6% | #136 |
| Pass PPA | -0.0 | #123 | +0.9 | #131 |
| Rush PPA | -0.3 | #129 | +0.2 | #116 |
TPi+ Talent Index
TPi+
+7.8#33
Recruiting
+8.3#31
Returning
+13.3#18
247 Talent
757.1#32
Head Coach
+1.7#59
National Composite
C
-2.4#76
SP+
-0.7#73
SP+ Off
+27.4#56
SP+ Def
+27.8#81
ESPN FPI
-1.1#71
Traditional Stats
Yards/G
168.0#130
Yards/G Allowed
413.0#106
Pass Yards/G
92.0#127
Rush Yards/G
76.0#123
3rd Down
30.8%#110
3rd Down Allowed
21.4%#23
Sacks/G
1.0#82
Takeaways/G
0.0#99
2026 Scheduleprojected 5.95–6.05
Record
1–1
Simulated
7–5
Projected
6.0–6.0
Best case
8–4
Worst case
2–10
| WK | OPPONENT | RESULT | PROJECTED | WIN PROB | MARKET | EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | @#33 Virginia | L 8–34 | Final | |||
| 2 | vsRichmond | W 73–0 | Final | |||
| 3 | @#23 Vanderbilt | — | Lose by 12.1 24–35 | 24.3% | — | — |
| 4 | vs#95 App State | — | Win by 11.5 34–23 | 74.5% | — | — |
| 5 | vs#24 Louisville | — | Lose by 4.7 24–28 | 39.3% | — | — |
| 6 | vs#56 Wake Forest | — | Win by 2.9 27–24 | 56.6% | — | — |
| 8 | @#74 Stanford | — | Win by 1.5 26–24 | 53.5% | — | — |
| 9 | vs#68 California | — | Win by 5.1 30–24 | 61.5% | — | — |
| 10 | vs#45 Duke | — | Win by 0.5 31–30 | 51.1% | — | — |
| 11 | vs#65 Syracuse | — | Win by 4.3 28–24 | 59.8% | — | — |
| 12 | @#54 Florida State | — | Lose by 3.9 24–28 | 41.3% | — | — |
| 13 | @#49 North Carolina | — | Lose by 5.3 21–27 | 38.1% | -1.5 | -6.8 |
CFPi+ V2026.2 · data vintage 9/8/2026