ACC · 2026
Duke
1–0
#45
CFPi+
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CFPi+ Index
CFPi+
+5.0#45
Offense
+35.1#17
Defense
+30.0#84
National Composite
+6.8#41
EPi+ Efficiency
+2.5#57
TPi+ Talent
+1.3#62
Head Coach
+7.2#40
EPi+ Efficiency Index
EPi+
+0.5#72
Off EPi+
-6.4#115
Def EPi+
-6.8#24
Off Success
29.5%#128
Def Success
30.9%#45
Havoc Created
25.5%#20
Advanced Stats
| Stat | Offense | Rank | Defense | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Success Rate | 29.5% | #128 | 30.9% | #45 |
| Explosiveness | +1.2 | #72 | +0.8 | #7 |
| Havoc Rate | 9.0% | #28 | 25.5% | #20 |
| Pass PPA | -0.2 | #131 | +0.1 | #57 |
| Rush PPA | +0.1 | #79 | -0.2 | #28 |
TPi+ Talent Index
TPi+
+1.3#62
Recruiting
+2.9#64
Returning
-7.5#95
247 Talent
668.5#69
Head Coach
+7.2#40
National Composite
C
+6.8#41
SP+
+6.6#45
SP+ Off
+31.3#34
SP+ Def
+25.1#63
ESPN FPI
+4.7#50
Traditional Stats
Yards/G
381.0#83
Yards/G Allowed
258.0#51
Pass Yards/G
131.0#118
Rush Yards/G
250.0#30
3rd Down
44.4%#64
3rd Down Allowed
21.4%#23
Sacks/G
3.0#21
Takeaways/G
1.0#52
2026 Scheduleprojected 6.7–5.3
Record
2–0
Simulated
6–6
Projected
7.3–4.7
Best case
10–2
Worst case
5–7
| WK | OPPONENT | RESULT | PROJECTED | WIN PROB | MARKET | EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs#85 Tulane | W 17–3 | Final | |||
| 2 | @#40 Illinois | W 31–27 | Final | |||
| 3 | vs#74 Stanford | — | Win by 9.9 34–24 | 71.6% | — | — |
| 4 | vsWilliam & Mary | — | Win by 32.6 45–13 | 96.9% | — | — |
| 6 | @#43 Georgia Tech | — | Lose by 4.1 30–34 | 40.7% | — | — |
| 7 | vs#49 North Carolina | — | Win by 4.4 28–24 | 60.0% | -4.5 | -0.1 |
| 8 | @#33 Virginia | — | Lose by 7.5 24–31 | 33.3% | +6.5 | -1.0 |
| 9 | vs#76 Boston College | — | Win by 11.1 35–24 | 73.7% | — | — |
| 10 | @#60 NC State | — | Lose by 0.5 30–31 | 48.9% | — | — |
| 11 | @#6 Miami | — | Lose by 22.4 17–38 | 9.9% | +21 | -1.4 |
| 12 | vs#29 Clemson | — | Lose by 1.1 27–28 | 47.5% | — | — |
| 13 | @#56 Wake Forest | — | Lose by 0.8 27–28 | 48.1% | — | — |
CFPi+ V2026.2 · data vintage 9/8/2026