ACC · 2026

Duke

5–2
CFPi+ rank#50of 138 FBS teams
+4.8CFPi+ rating
#40Best: Head coach
#69Weakest: TPi+ talent
5Games left
CFPi+ index

Where the team ranks

CFPi+#50+4.8
Offense#55+27.2
Defense#44+22.4
EPi+ efficiency index

How efficiently it plays

EPi+#51+4.1
Off EPi+#73-1.3
Def EPi+#33-5.4
Advanced stats

Offense and defense

StatOffenseDefense
Success rate#7342.3%#4539.3%
Explosiveness#30+1.321#33+1.161
Havoc rate#1110.8%#6816.0%
Pass PPA#43+0.312#76+0.189
Rush PPA#55+0.135#17-0.076

Raw season splits, not opponent-adjusted. Defense #1 is the stingiest in the country.

TPi+ talent index

The roster and the staff

TPi+#69-0.3
Recruiting#64+2.9
Returning#95-7.8
247 talent#69668.5
Head coach#40+7.4
National composite

What other systems say

Composite#47+7.4
SP+#47+6.8
SP+ off#49+29.7
SP+ def#44+22.9
ESPN FPI#42+7.6
Traditional stats

The box-score view

Yards/G#40426.1
Yards/G allowed#22301.3
Pass yards/G#61236.4
Rush yards/G#36189.7
3rd down#4043.8%
3rd down allowed#929.2%
Sacks/G#252.6
Takeaways/G#891.0

Ranks are national out of 138 FBS teams and #1 is best. The bar shows where a rank sits in the field; the rating is the source beneath it.

2026 schedule

Every game, with the model's read

WkOpponentResultProjectedWin probMarketEdge
1vsTulaneW 17–3Final
2@IllinoisW 31–27Final
3vsStanfordW 35–7Final
4vsWilliam & MaryW 62–7Final
6@Georgia TechL 25–28Final
7vsNorth CarolinaL 20–24Final
8@VirginiaW 19–16Final
9vsBoston College—
10@NC State—
11@#2Miami—
12vsClemson—
13@#17Wake Forest—

Unlock Duke’s remaining schedule

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CFPi-X V4.0 Selected · data vintage 10/26/2026