Big 12 · 2026
UCF
1–0
#53
CFPi+
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CFPi+ Index
CFPi+
+2.9#53
Offense
+24.8#91
Defense
+21.9#35
National Composite
+4.3#52
EPi+ Efficiency
-1.7#72
TPi+ Talent
+3.9#56
Head Coach
-7.2#104
EPi+ Efficiency Index
EPi+
+12.5#22
Off EPi+
+3.5#52
Def EPi+
-9.0#12
Off Success
57.1%#25
Def Success
13.9%#10
Havoc Created
22.6%#33
Advanced Stats
| Stat | Offense | Rank | Defense | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Success Rate | 57.1% | #25 | 13.9% | #10 |
| Explosiveness | +1.2 | #90 | +1.7 | #124 |
| Havoc Rate | 4.8% | #6 | 22.6% | #33 |
| Pass PPA | +0.0 | #118 | -0.3 | #9 |
| Rush PPA | +0.8 | #5 | -0.3 | #19 |
TPi+ Talent Index
TPi+
+3.9#56
Recruiting
+3.0#62
Returning
-1.6#78
247 Talent
672.1#66
Head Coach
-7.2#104
National Composite
C
+4.3#52
SP+
+5.9#47
SP+ Off
+26.5#65
SP+ Def
+20.5#32
ESPN FPI
+4.8#49
Traditional Stats
Yards/G
560.0#20
Yards/G Allowed
181.0#25
Pass Yards/G
200.0#91
Rush Yards/G
360.0#7
3rd Down
62.5%#18
3rd Down Allowed
18.8%#19
Sacks/G
3.0#21
Takeaways/G
2.0#23
2026 Scheduleprojected 6.47–5.53
Record
1–1
Simulated
6–6
Projected
6.2–5.8
Best case
9–3
Worst case
4–8
| WK | OPPONENT | RESULT | PROJECTED | WIN PROB | MARKET | EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vsBethune-Cookman | W 73–6 | Final | |||
| 2 | @#35 Pittsburgh | L 7–12 | Final | |||
| 3 | vs#130 Georgia State | — | Win by 23.5 38–14 | 91.1% | — | — |
| 4 | vs#44 TCU | — | Win by 1.8 27–24 | 54.1% | — | — |
| 5 | @#52 Houston | — | Lose by 3.4 24–27 | 42.2% | — | — |
| 6 | @#59 Oklahoma State | — | Lose by 3.8 21–24 | 41.4% | — | — |
| 8 | vs#20 BYU | — | Lose by 6.0 21–28 | 36.6% | — | — |
| 9 | vs#38 Baylor | — | Win by 0.5 29–28 | 51.1% | — | — |
| 10 | @#46 Kansas | — | Lose by 5.4 24–30 | 37.8% | — | — |
| 11 | vs#47 Arizona State | — | Win by 2.3 24–23 | 55.3% | — | — |
| 12 | vs#61 Iowa State | — | Win by 5.0 27–21 | 61.3% | — | — |
| 13 | @#62 Colorado | — | Lose by 2.2 24–26 | 45.1% | — | — |
CFPi+ V2026.2 · data vintage 9/8/2026