Big 12 · 2026
Iowa State
1–0
#61
CFPi+
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CFPi+ Index
CFPi+
+1.6#61
Offense
+25.3#82
Defense
+23.6#45
National Composite
+3.3#59
EPi+ Efficiency
+5.8#45
TPi+ Talent
-1.1#71
Head Coach
-0.6#81
EPi+ Efficiency Index
EPi+
+3.9#60
Off EPi+
-1.0#79
Def EPi+
-5.0#35
Off Success
35.6%#110
Def Success
26.9%#32
Havoc Created
24.6%#24
Advanced Stats
| Stat | Offense | Rank | Defense | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Success Rate | 35.6% | #110 | 26.9% | #32 |
| Explosiveness | +1.8 | #6 | +1.4 | #105 |
| Havoc Rate | 20.8% | #119 | 24.6% | #24 |
| Pass PPA | +0.3 | #74 | +0.0 | #43 |
| Rush PPA | +0.3 | #41 | -0.1 | #51 |
TPi+ Talent Index
TPi+
-1.1#71
Recruiting
+3.5#58
Returning
-22.1#138
247 Talent
669.5#68
Head Coach
-0.6#81
National Composite
C
+3.3#59
SP+
+3.1#57
SP+ Off
+24.2#84
SP+ Def
+21.6#39
ESPN FPI
-0.8#68
Traditional Stats
Yards/G
303.0#112
Yards/G Allowed
209.0#34
Pass Yards/G
195.0#95
Rush Yards/G
108.0#108
3rd Down
40.0%#80
3rd Down Allowed
31.3%#57
Sacks/G
6.0#1
Takeaways/G
3.0#7
2026 Scheduleprojected 5.82–6.18
Record
1–1
Simulated
5–7
Projected
5.6–6.4
Best case
8–4
Worst case
3–9
| WK | OPPONENT | RESULT | PROJECTED | WIN PROB | MARKET | EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vsSoutheast Missouri State | W 38–10 | Final | |||
| 2 | @#21 Iowa | L 13–16 | Final | |||
| 3 | vs#123 Bowling Green | — | Win by 17.6 31–14 | 84.3% | — | — |
| 4 | vs#30 Utah | — | Lose by 3.9 24–28 | 41.2% | — | — |
| 5 | vs#70 West Virginia | — | Win by 5.8 28–23 | 63.0% | — | — |
| 6 | @#20 BYU | — | Lose by 16.2 17–34 | 17.7% | — | — |
| 8 | @#37 Arizona | — | Lose by 8.7 21–30 | 30.8% | — | — |
| 9 | vs#59 Oklahoma State | — | Win by 2.8 26–23 | 56.4% | — | — |
| 10 | @#38 Baylor | — | Lose by 8.5 24–34 | 31.3% | — | — |
| 11 | vs#58 Cincinnati | — | Win by 2.8 27–24 | 56.4% | — | — |
| 12 | @#53 UCF | — | Lose by 5.0 21–27 | 38.7% | — | — |
| 13 | vs#34 Kansas State | — | Lose by 3.0 24–27 | 43.2% | — | — |
CFPi+ V2026.2 · data vintage 9/8/2026