
Big 12 · 2026
Arizona State
1–0
#47
CFPi+
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CFPi+ Index
CFPi+
+4.5#47
Offense
+26.9#68
Defense
+22.4#39
National Composite
+4.6#49
EPi+ Efficiency
+6.8#41
TPi+ Talent
+3.3#57
Head Coach
+4.0#51
EPi+ Efficiency Index
EPi+
+17.1#8
Off EPi+
+13.1#2
Def EPi+
-3.9#42
Off Success
70.7%#2
Def Success
29.6%#40
Havoc Created
11.5%#106
Advanced Stats
| Stat | Offense | Rank | Defense | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Success Rate | 70.7% | #2 | 29.6% | #40 |
| Explosiveness | +1.5 | #24 | +0.9 | #15 |
| Havoc Rate | 11.3% | #52 | 11.5% | #106 |
| Pass PPA | +1.1 | #4 | -0.1 | #23 |
| Rush PPA | +0.5 | #19 | +0.1 | #97 |
TPi+ Talent Index
TPi+
+3.3#57
Recruiting
+5.0#53
Returning
-14.3#113
247 Talent
722.0#45
Head Coach
+4.0#51
National Composite
C
+4.6#49
SP+
+8.7#38
SP+ Off
+29.7#45
SP+ Def
+20.5#32
ESPN FPI
+7.5#36
Traditional Stats
Yards/G
681.0#2
Yards/G Allowed
188.0#27
Pass Yards/G
432.0#4
Rush Yards/G
249.0#32
3rd Down
50.0%#44
3rd Down Allowed
25.0%#33
Sacks/G
2.0#48
Takeaways/G
0.0#99
2026 Scheduleprojected 5.85–6.15
Record
1–1
Simulated
5–7
Projected
5.8–6.2
Best case
8–4
Worst case
3–9
| WK | OPPONENT | RESULT | PROJECTED | WIN PROB | MARKET | EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vsMorgan State | W 70–7 | Final | |||
| 2 | @#8 Texas A&M | L 20–48 | Final | |||
| 3 | vs#46 Kansas | — | Lose by 0.2 27–28 | 49.6% | — | — |
| 5 | vs#38 Baylor | — | Win by 1.7 31–28 | 53.9% | — | — |
| 6 | vs#98 Hawai'i | — | Win by 14.5 34–20 | 79.7% | — | — |
| 7 | @#13 Texas Tech | — | Lose by 18.2 17–34 | 14.9% | — | — |
| 8 | vs#34 Kansas State | — | Lose by 0.3 26–27 | 49.3% | — | — |
| 9 | @#20 BYU | — | Lose by 13.5 20–34 | 21.9% | — | — |
| 10 | vs#62 Colorado | — | Win by 6.2 28–21 | 63.9% | — | — |
| 11 | @#53 UCF | — | Lose by 2.3 23–24 | 44.7% | — | — |
| 12 | vs#59 Oklahoma State | — | Win by 5.5 27–21 | 62.4% | — | — |
| 13 | @#37 Arizona | — | Lose by 6.1 21–28 | 36.3% | +4.5 | -1.6 |
CFPi+ V2026.2 · data vintage 9/8/2026