
Mountain West · 2026
San José State
1–1
#119
CFPi+
View full team outlook in the War Room →
CFPi+ Index
CFPi+
-12.3#119
Offense
+21.1#110
Defense
+33.4#114
National Composite
-12.3#118
EPi+ Efficiency
-6.3#92
TPi+ Talent
-10.4#103
Head Coach
-14.0#121
EPi+ Efficiency Index
EPi+
-6.9#99
Off EPi+
-3.2#93
Def EPi+
+3.6#102
Off Success
34.7%#116
Def Success
46.9%#112
Havoc Created
11.6%#105
Advanced Stats
| Stat | Offense | Rank | Defense | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Success Rate | 34.7% | #116 | 46.9% | #112 |
| Explosiveness | +1.4 | #30 | +0.9 | #17 |
| Havoc Rate | 17.0% | #104 | 11.6% | #105 |
| Pass PPA | +0.4 | #61 | +0.2 | #76 |
| Rush PPA | -0.1 | #113 | +0.2 | #100 |
TPi+ Talent Index
TPi+
-10.4#103
Recruiting
-7.3#110
Returning
-13.9#112
247 Talent
569.3#110
Head Coach
-14.0#121
National Composite
C
-12.3#118
SP+
-12.8#112
SP+ Off
+19.9#110
SP+ Def
+32.2#107
ESPN FPI
-10.1#109
Traditional Stats
Yards/G
394.5#78
Yards/G Allowed
393.0#96
Pass Yards/G
275.0#46
Rush Yards/G
119.5#100
3rd Down
37.0%#95
3rd Down Allowed
41.4%#93
Sacks/G
1.0#82
Takeaways/G
1.0#52
2026 Scheduleprojected 6.16–6.84
Record
2–1
Simulated
5–8
Projected
6.2–6.8
Best case
9–4
Worst case
4–9
| WK | OPPONENT | RESULT | PROJECTED | WIN PROB | MARKET | EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | @#14 USC | L 26–42 | Final | |||
| 1 | @#121 Eastern Michigan | W 27–21 | Final | |||
| 2 | vsCal Poly | W 30–20 | Final | |||
| 3 | vs#89 Fresno State | — | Lose by 5.9 21–27 | 36.8% | — | — |
| 5 | @#98 Hawai'i | — | Lose by 6.7 24–31 | 35.1% | — | — |
| 6 | vs#127 Wyoming | — | Win by 4.5 24–21 | 60.1% | — | — |
| 7 | @#134 UTEP | — | Win by 7.5 31–24 | 66.6% | — | — |
| 8 | @#103 Nevada | — | Lose by 4.9 21–27 | 38.9% | — | — |
| 9 | vs#72 New Mexico | — | Lose by 9.4 21–31 | 29.5% | — | — |
| 10 | vs#126 Northern Illinois | — | Win by 4.1 24–21 | 59.4% | — | — |
| 11 | @#91 Air Force | — | Lose by 7.0 24–31 | 34.3% | — | — |
| 12 | vs#64 UNLV | — | Lose by 12.1 24–35 | 24.5% | — | — |
| 13 | vs#81 North Dakota State | — | Lose by 6.9 24–31 | 34.7% | — | — |
CFPi+ V2026.2 · data vintage 9/8/2026