
Conference USA · 2026
Missouri State
0–1
#131
CFPi+
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CFPi+ Index
CFPi+
-18.4#131
Offense
+20.3#115
Defense
+38.6#137
National Composite
-20.5#133
EPi+ Efficiency
-8.9#103
TPi+ Talent
-18.4#137
Head Coach
0.0#63
EPi+ Efficiency Index
EPi+
-25.7#135
Off EPi+
-18.1#137
Def EPi+
+7.6#115
Off Success
16.0%#136
Def Success
55.2%#131
Havoc Created
12.4%#96
Advanced Stats
| Stat | Offense | Rank | Defense | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Success Rate | 16.0% | #136 | 55.2% | #131 |
| Explosiveness | +0.7 | #136 | +1.1 | #39 |
| Havoc Rate | 29.3% | #136 | 12.4% | #96 |
| Pass PPA | -0.2 | #132 | +0.5 | #108 |
| Rush PPA | -0.4 | #133 | +0.2 | #99 |
TPi+ Talent Index
TPi+
-18.4#137
Recruiting
-18.9#136
Returning
-8.8#100
247 Talent
549.9#119
Head Coach
0.0#63
National Composite
C
-20.5#133
SP+
-24.3#132
SP+ Off
+13.6#129
SP+ Def
+37.4#128
ESPN FPI
-15.9#127
Traditional Stats
Yards/G
67.0#138
Yards/G Allowed
505.0#125
Pass Yards/G
30.0#134
Rush Yards/G
37.0#133
3rd Down
10.0%#132
3rd Down Allowed
50.0%#110
Sacks/G
2.0#48
Takeaways/G
1.0#52
2026 Scheduleprojected 4.13–7.87
Record
1–1
Simulated
2–10
Projected
4.2–7.8
Best case
7–5
Worst case
2–10
| WK | OPPONENT | RESULT | PROJECTED | WIN PROB | MARKET | EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @#8 Texas A&M | L 0–50 | Final | |||
| 2 | vsLindenwood | W 48–14 | Final | |||
| 3 | vs#109 Marshall | — | Lose by 7.9 27–35 | 32.5% | — | — |
| 4 | @#27 SMU | — | Lose by 30.2 13–42 | 4.1% | — | — |
| 6 | @#104 Western Kentucky | — | Lose by 10.7 24–34 | 26.9% | — | — |
| 7 | vs#115 Kennesaw State | — | Lose by 6.2 24–31 | 36.1% | — | — |
| 8 | @#110 Delaware | — | Lose by 9.0 24–34 | 30.3% | — | — |
| 9 | vs#133 Sam Houston | — | Win by 2.5 30–27 | 55.7% | — | — |
| 10 | @#113 Florida International | — | Lose by 7.9 26–34 | 32.5% | — | — |
| 11 | vs#125 New Mexico State | — | Lose by 2.4 27–30 | 44.6% | — | — |
| 12 | @#107 Jacksonville State | — | Lose by 9.7 24–34 | 28.8% | — | — |
| 13 | vs#94 Liberty | — | Lose by 10.9 24–34 | 26.6% | — | — |
CFPi+ V2026.2 · data vintage 9/8/2026