Conference USA · 2026
Missouri State
2–5
CFPi+ rank#123of 138 FBS teams
-14.5CFPi+ rating
#63Best: Head coach
#135Weakest: EPi+ efficiency
4Games left
Where the team ranks
CFPi+#123-14.5
Offense#108+19.9
Defense#129+34.4
How efficiently it plays
EPi+#135-23.8
Off EPi+#118-8.5
Def EPi+#136+15.3
Offense and defense
| Stat | Offense | Defense |
|---|---|---|
| Success rate | #7842.1% | #13348.9% |
| Explosiveness | #84+1.226 | #35+1.167 |
| Havoc rate | #9816.3% | #12212.7% |
| Pass PPA | #64+0.237 | #128+0.394 |
| Rush PPA | #117-0.006 | #106+0.144 |
Raw season splits, not opponent-adjusted. Defense #1 is the stingiest in the country.
The roster and the staff
TPi+#119-11.2
Recruiting#136-18.9
Returning#100-9.1
247 talent#119549.9
Head coach#63+0.0
What other systems say
Composite#129-20.0
SP+#128-16.9
SP+ off#114+19.0
SP+ def#128+35.4
ESPN FPI#128-16.9
The box-score view
Yards/G#86369.7
Yards/G allowed#130438.1
Pass yards/G#55240.7
Rush yards/G#109129.0
3rd down#9636.5%
3rd down allowed#12344.6%
Sacks/G#1131.3
Takeaways/G#891.0
Ranks are national out of 138 FBS teams and #1 is best. The bar shows where a rank sits in the field; the rating is the source beneath it.
Every game, with the model's read
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Projected | Win prob | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @ #23Texas A&M | L 0–50 | Final | |||
| 2 | vs Lindenwood | W 48–14 | Final | |||
| 3 | vs Marshall | L 24–30 | Final | |||
| 4 | @ SMU | L 24–34 | Final | |||
| 6 | @ Western Kentucky | L 13–34 | Final | |||
| 7 | vs Kennesaw State | W 24–21 | Final | |||
| 8 | @ Delaware | L 38–61 | Final | |||
| 9 | vs Sam Houston | W 24–3 | Final | |||
| 10 | @ Florida International | — | ||||
| 11 | vs New Mexico State | — | ||||
| 12 | @ Jacksonville State | — | ||||
| 13 | vs Liberty | — | ||||
Unlock Missouri State’s remaining schedule
CFPi-X V4.0 Selected · data vintage 10/26/2026