SEC · 2026
Mississippi State
4–3
CFPi+ rank#31of 138 FBS teams
+10.7CFPi+ rating
#15Best: Offense
#108Weakest: Head coach
5Games left
Where the team ranks
CFPi+#31+10.7
Offense#15+34.3
Defense#52+23.7
How efficiently it plays
EPi+#34+8.3
Off EPi+#20+8.9
Def EPi+#73+0.6
Offense and defense
| Stat | Offense | Defense |
|---|---|---|
| Success rate | #4345.5% | #10644.1% |
| Explosiveness | #68+1.248 | #22+1.139 |
| Havoc rate | #8215.5% | #7315.5% |
| Pass PPA | #62+0.238 | #103+0.280 |
| Rush PPA | #60+0.123 | #44-0.006 |
Raw season splits, not opponent-adjusted. Defense #1 is the stingiest in the country.
The roster and the staff
TPi+#20+12.1
Recruiting#22+12.0
Returning#80-1.9
247 talent#20804.5
Head coach#108-8.0
What other systems say
Composite#38+9.0
SP+#52+6.0
SP+ off#35+31.9
SP+ def#68+26.3
ESPN FPI#40+8.5
The box-score view
Yards/G#31439.7
Yards/G allowed#106392.0
Pass yards/G#35264.7
Rush yards/G#50175.0
3rd down#5941.6%
3rd down allowed#9740.6%
Sacks/G#492.3
Takeaways/G#1090.9
Ranks are national out of 138 FBS teams and #1 is best. The bar shows where a rank sits in the field; the rating is the source beneath it.
Every game, with the model's read
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Projected | Win prob | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs UL Monroe | W 62–13 | Final | |||
| 2 | @ Minnesota | W 38–13 | Final | |||
| 3 | @ #14South Carolina | W 41–34 | Final | |||
| 4 | vs #25Missouri | W 31–24 | Final | |||
| 5 | vs #1Alabama | L 23–56 | Final | |||
| 7 | @ #4LSU | L 0–31 | Final | |||
| 8 | vs #22Oklahoma | L 15–23 | Final | |||
| 9 | @ #7Texas | — | ||||
| 10 | vs Vanderbilt | — | ||||
| 11 | vs Auburn | — | ||||
| 12 | vs Tennessee Tech | — | ||||
| 13 | @ #9Ole Miss | — | ||||
Unlock Mississippi State’s remaining schedule
CFPi-X V4.0 Selected · data vintage 10/26/2026