SEC · 2026
Mississippi State
1–0
#32
CFPi+
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CFPi+ Index
CFPi+
+9.0#32
Offense
+35.5#16
Defense
+26.6#66
National Composite
+9.9#26
EPi+ Efficiency
-3.2#79
TPi+ Talent
+12.4#21
Head Coach
-7.7#108
EPi+ Efficiency Index
EPi+
+16.6#11
Off EPi+
+9.5#6
Def EPi+
-7.1#23
Off Success
60.0%#18
Def Success
24.2%#27
Havoc Created
15.5%#76
Advanced Stats
| Stat | Offense | Rank | Defense | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Success Rate | 60.0% | #18 | 24.2% | #27 |
| Explosiveness | +1.4 | #36 | +0.7 | #6 |
| Havoc Rate | 10.1% | #40 | 15.5% | #76 |
| Pass PPA | +0.5 | #39 | -0.1 | #29 |
| Rush PPA | +0.8 | #4 | -0.1 | #44 |
TPi+ Talent Index
TPi+
+12.4#21
Recruiting
+12.0#22
Returning
-1.9#80
247 Talent
804.5#20
Head Coach
-7.7#108
National Composite
C
+9.9#26
SP+
+9.4#35
SP+ Off
+33.5#20
SP+ Def
+24.7#62
ESPN FPI
+8.6#33
Traditional Stats
Yards/G
762.0#1
Yards/G Allowed
278.0#57
Pass Yards/G
417.0#7
Rush Yards/G
345.0#8
3rd Down
45.5%#61
3rd Down Allowed
18.8%#19
Sacks/G
2.0#48
Takeaways/G
0.0#99
2026 Scheduleprojected 5.64–6.36
Record
2–0
Simulated
6–6
Projected
6.1–5.9
Best case
8–4
Worst case
3–9
| WK | OPPONENT | RESULT | PROJECTED | WIN PROB | MARKET | EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs#138 UL Monroe | W 62–13 | Final | |||
| 2 | @#50 Minnesota | W 38–13 | Final | |||
| 3 | @#17 South Carolina | — | Lose by 13.1 21–34 | 22.7% | — | — |
| 4 | vs#25 Missouri | — | Win by 3.9 28–24 | 58.8% | — | — |
| 5 | vs#10 Alabama | — | Lose by 5.2 24–30 | 38.2% | — | — |
| 7 | @#7 LSU | — | Lose by 21.4 16–37 | 10.9% | — | — |
| 8 | vs#11 Oklahoma | — | Lose by 4.1 24–28 | 40.6% | — | — |
| 9 | @#4 Texas | — | Lose by 25.5 16–41 | 7.2% | — | — |
| 10 | vs#23 Vanderbilt | — | Win by 3.4 34–31 | 57.7% | — | — |
| 11 | vs#22 Auburn | — | Win by 2.9 27–24 | 56.7% | — | — |
| 12 | vsTennessee Tech | — | Win by 27.3 42–14 | 94.1% | — | — |
| 13 | @#18 Ole Miss | — | Lose by 12.3 24–38 | 24.1% | +14.5 | +2.2 |
CFPi+ V2026.2 · data vintage 9/8/2026