Sun Belt · 2026
Southern Miss
1–0
#100
CFPi+
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CFPi+ Index
CFPi+
-7.9#100
Offense
+25.3#81
Defense
+33.2#106
National Composite
-10.7#112
EPi+ Efficiency
-0.4#66
TPi+ Talent
-6.3#84
Head Coach
+1.8#57
EPi+ Efficiency Index
EPi+
+9.8#33
Off EPi+
+8.2#15
Def EPi+
-1.5#58
Off Success
60.3%#17
Def Success
17.1%#14
Havoc Created
21.3%#41
Advanced Stats
| Stat | Offense | Rank | Defense | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Success Rate | 60.3% | #17 | 17.1% | #14 |
| Explosiveness | +1.2 | #81 | +2.5 | #138 |
| Havoc Rate | 9.4% | #32 | 21.3% | #41 |
| Pass PPA | +0.4 | #62 | +0.5 | #116 |
| Rush PPA | +0.6 | #15 | -0.4 | #12 |
TPi+ Talent Index
TPi+
-6.3#84
Recruiting
-3.6#85
Returning
+17.1#7
247 Talent
602.6#94
Head Coach
+1.8#57
National Composite
C
-10.7#112
SP+
-14.9#118
SP+ Off
+20.6#105
SP+ Def
+35.1#120
ESPN FPI
-3.0#77
Traditional Stats
Yards/G
543.0#25
Yards/G Allowed
223.0#40
Pass Yards/G
226.0#75
Rush Yards/G
317.0#11
3rd Down
41.7%#74
3rd Down Allowed
35.7%#73
Sacks/G
1.0#82
Takeaways/G
5.0#1
2026 Scheduleprojected 6.41–5.59
Record
1–1
Simulated
6–6
Projected
6.3–5.7
Best case
9–3
Worst case
4–8
| WK | OPPONENT | RESULT | PROJECTED | WIN PROB | MARKET | EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vsAlcorn State | W 49–3 | Final | |||
| 2 | @#22 Auburn | L 8–43 | Final | |||
| 3 | vs#79 UConn | — | Lose by 1.8 28–31 | 45.8% | — | — |
| 4 | @#85 Tulane | — | Lose by 4.5 28–31 | 39.7% | — | — |
| 6 | @#101 Troy | — | Lose by 1.0 27–28 | 47.8% | — | — |
| 7 | vs#112 Arkansas State | — | Win by 4.2 31–27 | 59.6% | — | — |
| 8 | vs#105 Louisiana | — | Win by 2.3 31–28 | 55.3% | — | — |
| 9 | @#138 UL Monroe | — | Win by 16.3 35–20 | 82.5% | — | — |
| 10 | vs#84 James Madison | — | Lose by 1.3 28–30 | 47.0% | — | — |
| 11 | @#96 Louisiana Tech | — | Lose by 2.5 27–30 | 44.3% | — | — |
| 12 | vs#116 South Alabama | — | Win by 4.8 31–27 | 60.8% | — | — |
| 13 | @#106 Old Dominion | — | Win by 0.2 28–27 | 50.5% | — | — |
CFPi+ V2026.2 · data vintage 9/8/2026