Sun Belt · 2026
South Alabama
1–0
#116
CFPi+
View full team outlook in the War Room →
CFPi+ Index
CFPi+
-11.5#116
Offense
+23.9#97
Defense
+35.5#120
National Composite
-12.1#116
EPi+ Efficiency
-9.3#105
TPi+ Talent
-9.7#99
Head Coach
-7.8#109
EPi+ Efficiency Index
EPi+
-0.6#75
Off EPi+
-2.3#86
Def EPi+
-1.7#57
Off Success
39.2%#96
Def Success
37.5%#67
Havoc Created
29.7%#5
Advanced Stats
| Stat | Offense | Rank | Defense | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Success Rate | 39.2% | #96 | 37.5% | #67 |
| Explosiveness | +1.1 | #94 | +1.4 | #99 |
| Havoc Rate | 14.8% | #86 | 29.7% | #5 |
| Pass PPA | +0.2 | #97 | +0.5 | #120 |
| Rush PPA | +0.2 | #69 | -0.3 | #16 |
TPi+ Talent Index
TPi+
-9.7#99
Recruiting
-6.0#99
Returning
+12.2#24
247 Talent
573.4#107
Head Coach
-7.8#109
National Composite
C
-12.1#116
SP+
-11.4#106
SP+ Off
+23.5#90
SP+ Def
+34.2#118
ESPN FPI
-9.6#106
Traditional Stats
Yards/G
395.0#77
Yards/G Allowed
231.0#43
Pass Yards/G
154.0#112
Rush Yards/G
241.0#35
3rd Down
41.2%#78
3rd Down Allowed
0.0%#1
Sacks/G
1.0#82
Takeaways/G
2.0#23
2026 Scheduleprojected 5.73–6.27
Record
1–1
Simulated
3–9
Projected
5.4–6.6
Best case
8–4
Worst case
3–9
| WK | OPPONENT | RESULT | PROJECTED | WIN PROB | MARKET | EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vsSE Louisiana | W 39–14 | Final | |||
| 2 | @#85 Tulane | L 24–28 | Final | |||
| 3 | vs#118 Ohio | — | Win by 1.5 27–26 | 53.5% | — | — |
| 4 | @#39 Kentucky | — | Lose by 20.9 17–38 | 11.5% | — | — |
| 5 | vs#138 UL Monroe | — | Win by 14.4 34–20 | 79.5% | — | — |
| 6 | @#112 Arkansas State | — | Lose by 1.4 28–30 | 46.8% | — | — |
| 8 | @#109 Marshall | — | Lose by 3.3 31–34 | 42.6% | — | — |
| 9 | vs#96 Louisiana Tech | — | Lose by 3.8 27–30 | 41.3% | — | — |
| 10 | @#105 Louisiana | — | Lose by 4.2 27–31 | 40.6% | — | — |
| 11 | vs#101 Troy | — | Lose by 2.4 27–30 | 44.6% | — | — |
| 12 | @#100 Southern Miss | — | Lose by 4.8 27–31 | 39.2% | — | — |
| 13 | vs#95 App State | — | Lose by 3.8 28–31 | 41.3% | — | — |
CFPi+ V2026.2 · data vintage 9/8/2026