Conference USA · 2026

Middle Tennessee

4–3
CFPi+ rank#126of 138 FBS teams
-15.5CFPi+ rating
#105Best: EPi+ efficiency
#134Weakest: Head coach
4Games left
CFPi+ index

Where the team ranks

CFPi+#126-15.5
Offense#125+17.3
Defense#120+32.8
EPi+ efficiency index

How efficiently it plays

EPi+#105-9.4
Off EPi+#82-2.5
Def EPi+#111+6.9
Advanced stats

Offense and defense

StatOffenseDefense
Success rate#9341.0%#12345.9%
Explosiveness#78+1.238#34+1.162
Havoc rate#6314.3%#13610.2%
Pass PPA#77+0.208#75+0.189
Rush PPA#71+0.097#110+0.148

Raw season splits, not opponent-adjusted. Defense #1 is the stingiest in the country.

TPi+ talent index

The roster and the staff

TPi+#109-9.2
Recruiting#115-8.1
Returning#91-6.2
247 talent#109571.5
Head coach#134-24.4
National composite

What other systems say

Composite#118-13.8
SP+#125-15.2
SP+ off#117+18.1
SP+ def#119+33.7
ESPN FPI#126-16.0
Traditional stats

The box-score view

Yards/G#109339.6
Yards/G allowed#114403.4
Pass yards/G#97200.6
Rush yards/G#97139.0
3rd down#13725.6%
3rd down allowed#9840.7%
Sacks/G#1301.0
Takeaways/G#531.3

Ranks are national out of 138 FBS teams and #1 is best. The bar shows where a rank sits in the field; the rating is the source beneath it.

2026 schedule

Every game, with the model's read

WkOpponentResultProjectedWin probMarketEdge
1vsMurray StateW 38–14Final
2@MarshallL 26–28Final
3vsNevadaW 27–20Final
4@Jacksonville StateL 13–23Final
5@KansasL 0–55Final
7vsDelawareW 33–30Final
8@Florida InternationalW 26–23Final
9vsKennesaw StateL 28–44Final
10vsWestern Kentucky—
11@Liberty—
12@Sam Houston—
13vsNew Mexico State—

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CFPi-X V4.0 Selected · data vintage 10/26/2026